Elliot -
Both of those scenarios – while they sound troubling in lots of ways – don’t strike me as the actual reason for the closure of a space. Symptoms, but not causes, ya know?
-Alex
···
On Sun, Jan 4, 2015 at 3:42 PM, Alex Hillman [email protected] wrote:
Turns out that surveys are terrible for collecting this kind of information I’ve had to do a lot of more hands on work to find real, valuable information.
I’ve used some of my findings to help fuel other articles, like this one in the Philadelphia Biz Journal (I pubilished the full interview to suppliment the piece): http://dangerouslyawesome.com/2014/07/behind-the-scenes-of-a-front-page-interview-coworking-any-old-space-wont-do/
The issue is that demand for space is a red herring for success in coworking, and worse, it’s a magnet for opportunism.
Take a look at every corner of the “sharing economy”…and you’ll find the same thing. Utopian sharing quickly devolves into mass exodus. There’s a bigger problem in doing the research, though…and that’s collecting information from founders/leaders.
Founders and leaders of failed spaces (generally) won’t talk, and when they do, it’s platitudes or outright lies. Because let’s be honest, nobody likes facing their failures. There are, of course, a couple of exceptions and they’ve written about their experiences here on the Google Group.
The best sources of insight have been former members and former staff. The problem is that THEY generally don’t respond well to being approached out of the blue (I’ve learned first hand).
We see that coworking spaces are opening at accelerating rates, but what’s not as obvious is that the vast majority of them are dealing with high turnover and/or burn rates that make their business model completely unsustainable. Because of the nature of these businesses, it’s very hard to see the effects of these problems until “reality” sets in about 2 years after the start.
There’s clues before then (a mix of highly visible ones, and others that are much more subtle), but any coworking space younger than 2 years old really should be focusing on getting GREAT at one thing: knowing their members.
We’re going to see a lot more closings in the near future. I’d say that most coworking spaces open today fall into one of four categories:
1- they’re generally unsustainable, and will die within 2 years.
2 - they’re generally unsustainable, but somebody is pumping cash into them to extend the 2 year life expectancy. Some will right the ship, but many will not before the cash dries up.
3 - they’re growing sustainably
4 - they’re growing unsustainably
I’d say that 80%+ of coworking spaces I encounter fall into unsustainable categories 1 and 2. ~18% (maybe a bit less) are safely in category 3, and less than 2% in category 4.
-Alex
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On Sat, Jan 3, 2015 at 3:32 AM, Farhan Abbasi [email protected] wrote:
Hi Alex,
Glad you did this survey in 2012. Any chance you still have the results?
Farhan
On Wednesday, 19 September 2012 09:19:57 UTC-4, Alex Hillman wrote:Excellent suggestion on location data, and the little formatting fix. On their way.
I’ve got a dozen or so submissions overnight. Keep 'em coming people.
–
/ah
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On Wednesday, September 19, 2012 at 8:45 AM, rachel young wrote:
Hi,
Thanks for starting this, Alex. I’m curious about the results too.
I suggest adding mandatory fields for City, Province/State, and Country so that you can easily search and sort by region. The two entries I just sent were from Toronto, ON Canada.
Also you copied the notes (“It doesn’t have to be a eulogy…”) from the second last question to the last question. Just a formatting thing.
r.
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On 18 September 2012 22:46, Alex Hillman [email protected] wrote:
Thanks Chris. Great idea on opening up the closure dates to the future. I don’t expect to close the form so we can continue to collect data over time.
I’ve removed the “required” part of the date fields to allow for more flexible entry and updated the intro.
More suggestions and sharing welcome
-Alex
–
/ah
coworking in philadelphia
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On Tuesday, September 18, 2012 at 10:40 PM, Chris DiFonzo wrote:
Alex -
Props for starting this thread. I think the information will be valuable and hopefully help some current owner/operators succeed in spite of adversity.
I think you will get more responses, and perhaps salvage more existing cases, if you include owners/spaces that fear or outright anticipate failure in the next 12 months.
Btw, If you like we will tweet survey tomorrow.
Best,
Chris
On Sep 18, 2012, at 10:14 PM, Alex Hillman [email protected] wrote:
I’m sure I’m not the only person on this group who has google alerts set up for the words “coworking” and, sigh, “co-working”.
Between the number of new space announcements that show up in those alerts, Deskmag’s reporting on coworking growth trends, and many amazing success stories that we’ve all been privy to seeing unfold, there’s no doubt in any of our minds that coworking isn’t disappearing any time soon.
But speckled in the success stories are sadder ones. Coworking spaces who struggled and failed.
Another one hit my Google Reader tonight, in St Louis. Hence this email and this project being spurred right now.
On one hand, the business of coworking is susceptible to all of the rules of starting a new business - there’s going to be a failure rate. Not every business is meant to be. The rate at which I hear about closings is increasing, but it’s hard to tell if it’s growing in or out of proportion of openings.
Between coworking spaces that struggle to keep the lights on and coworking spaces that have closed (for good or bad reasons), there’s patterns in closures that I personally find very interesting, far more interesting in “new hotness variations” on the coworking models.
The pattern-watcher that I am, I see some things, but I need more information to start building a hypothesis that can be proven or disproven.
I can’t do this alone. If you’ve started and closed a coworking space, been a member of a coworking space that struggled and failed, or are simply a passionate observer who saw an unfortunate closing, please take a few minutes to help fill out this survey:
This information is personal and potentially sensitive. I don’t expect all of the replies to include names or all of the details. Many people on this list have shared their personal stories before, and we should all be thankful for that.
The best solution I could come up with is to choose how anonymous you would like to be.
1) The name and email address fields are optional and will ONLY be used to reconnect with the submitter for more information.
2) The final required question asks for your consent to share the data you enter, beside the optional name/email fields which are anonymous by default. In case you have an alternate preference, you can specify it in “other”.
There’s researchers on the list, so if there’s other fields that you think I should include (or better ways to collect the same data), I’m all ears.
**Even if you’re not aware of closings you can share about, I need help getting the word out about this project. **I’m hoping for some assistance from Steve King & Team Deskmag since I know this stuff is already on their radar. If there’s anyone else already studying this (all of the quiet grad students on this list, I’m looking at you), I’d love to share work reciprocally.
My goal is to organize this information and share some hypothesis that we all study together and share back again, overall helping the ecosystem not just learn from successes but also avoid repeating historic failure patterns.
My hope is to be buried under a mountain of responses and have to recruit some of you to help me dig myself out
Thanks y’all.
-Alex
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/ah
coworking in philadelphia
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